SmolderLabs
Live dashboard

How the incubator is performing.

A live view of startup launches, experiment cycles, outcomes, and spend across the portfolio.

Total ventures
1
1 live
BML cycles
2
Persevere
2
learnings kept
Pivot / Kill
0 / 0
course corrections
Self-evolution

Mutations and survivors.

Prompt evolution
63%
promote rate
Ticks
54
Promoted
34
Rejected
10
Code evolution
36%
promote rate
Ticks
47
Promoted
17
Rejected
23
Code-evolve promote rate (rolling-5)
47 ticks
Spend

How efficiently we launch.

Total
$0
Factory
$0
meta-loop
Ventures
$0
all loops
Per promote
$0
all promotes
LLM calls
24
Input tokens
60.9k
Output tokens
18.0k
Attribution

Where the factory burns budget.

Factory spend by tag
Which loop step (code-evolve, factory-evolve, dispatch …) is consuming the meta-loop budget.
BucketSpendShareCallsTokens
dispatch$00%86.6k
factory-evolve$00%819.1k
code-evolve$00%853.3k
Factory spend by model
Mix of model tiers used in the meta-loop. Override pricing via FORGE_MODEL_PRICING.
BucketSpendShareCallsTokens
fixture-1$00%50
claude-sonnet-4-6$00%423.5k
qwen3.6$00%935.4k
mistral-nemo:latest$00%38.2k
glm-4.7-flash$00%311.8k
Return on AI

Human equivalent value.

What would this same incubator workload cost with a traditional human team? This compares that estimate to actual AI spend.

Human equivalent
$61,680
at market rates
AI cost
$0
LLM token spend
Value multiplier
pending real spend
Savings
$61,680
vs human team
Human-equivalent cost by activity
Rates: design $150/hr · engineering $200/hr · analytics $120/hr · management $250/hr · R&D $200/hr. Override via FORGE_WORK_RATES.
ActivityRoleUnitsHrs / unitRateHuman costShare
code-evolveR&D Engineering404h$200/hr$32,00052%
prompt-evolveR&D Engineering442h$200/hr$17,60029%
factory-managementManagement540.5h$250/hr$6,75011%
buildEngineering28h$200/hr$3,2005%
shipEngineering22h$200/hr$8001%
planDesign / PM22h$150/hr$6001%
decideManagement20.5h$250/hr$2500%
measureAnalytics21h$120/hr$2400%
learnAnalytics21h$120/hr$2400%
Portfolio

Spend by startup.

VentureCyclesStatusSpendTokens
venture-20260425-2ec3
a daily hacker news digest bot
2active$00
Activity

Recent incubator activity.

code_tickcode-evolve tick
4m ago
tickfactory tick
5m ago
code_rejectedcode src/provision.ts rejected (before_not_found)
28m ago
code_tickcode-evolve tick
28m ago
rejectedprompt ship rejected (introduces unknown placeholder(s): {{ventureId}}, {{charter}}, {{ledgerTail}})
28m ago
tickfactory tick
29m ago
tickfactory tick
29m ago
code_tickcode-evolve tick
47m ago
tickfactory tick
48m ago
code_tickcode-evolve tick
52m ago
tickfactory tick
53m ago
code_tickcode-evolve tick
59m ago
tickfactory tick
1h ago
tickfactory tick
1h ago
tickfactory tick
1h ago
code_promotecode src/ledger.ts swapped
1h ago
code_tickcode-evolve tick
1h ago
rejectedprompt ship rejected (missing required placeholder {{ventureId}})
1h ago
tickfactory tick
1h ago
code_tickcode-evolve tick
15h ago
promoteprompt build swapped
15h ago
tickfactory tick
15h ago
code_promotecode src/prompt.ts swapped
1d ago
code_tickcode-evolve tick
1d ago
promoteprompt plan swapped
1d ago
tickfactory tick
1d ago
code_rejectedcode src/ledger.ts rejected (before_not_found)
1d ago
code_tickcode-evolve tick
1d ago
promoteprompt charter swapped
1d ago
tickfactory tick
1d ago